Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Altrincham |
49.13% ( 1.4) | 24.28% ( -0.38) | 26.59% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% ( 0.9) | 46.43% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% ( 0.84) | 68.71% ( -0.84) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.03% ( 0.93) | 18.96% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.5% ( 1.52) | 50.49% ( -1.52) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( -0.31) | 31.38% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% ( -0.37) | 67.75% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Altrincham |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.21% Total : 49.13% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |