MX23RW : Friday, January 24 06:40:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Ajax

Heerenveen
0 - 2
Ajax

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sutalo (20'), Akpom (82')
Fitz-Jim (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Quick Boys 3-2 Heerenveen
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Heerenveen 1-1 Ajax

With a number of key injuries and suspensions in defence, Heerenveen could be an easier nut to crack than usual at their Abe Lenstra fortress on Sunday. Ajax will be desperate to returning to winning ways following their KNVB Cup loss last time out, although we feel that De Godenzonen will be forced to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAjax
35.01% (-0.276 -0.28) 24.37% (0.081 0.08) 40.63% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 59.81% (-0.351 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (-0.434 -0.43)42.9% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)65.3% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)24.09% (0.355 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)58.38% (0.506 0.51)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)21.21% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9% (-0.145 -0.14)54.1% (0.145 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 35.01%
    Ajax 40.63%
    Draw 24.36%
HeerenveenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.01%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 8.74% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.14% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.63%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Ajax

Heerenveen
12.0%
Draw
20.0%
Ajax
68.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
Ajax
1-0
Heerenveen
Hlynsson (45')

Bochniewicz (16'), Braude (84')
Feb 11, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 21
Heerenveen
3-2
Ajax
Van Amersfoort (11', 46'), Sahraoui (38')
van Beek (49'), Kohlert (51'), Braude (65'), Bochniewicz (72')
Bochniewicz (51' og.), Akpom (79')
Nov 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ajax
4-1
Heerenveen
Bergwijn (25'), Brobbey (42'), Akpom (84', 90+2')
van den Boomen (60')
Brouwers (45+1')
van Amersfoort (40'), Olsson (81')
Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Heerenveen
2-4
Ajax
Kudus (10'), Alvarez (16'), Bergwijn (19'), Taylor (52')
Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!