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National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
New Bucks Head Ground

Kidderminster
4 - 0
Oxford City

Beresford (23'), Hemmings (28'), Kouhyar (45+2'), Thompson (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Burley (52'), Jones (87'), Coyle (90+1')
Kpekawa (52')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 1-4 South Shields
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawOxford City
59.64% (0.636 0.64) 23.29% (-0.307 -0.31) 17.06% (-0.329 -0.33)
Both teams to score 45.79% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (0.674 0.67)52.99% (-0.675 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (0.572 0.57)74.59% (-0.572 -0.57)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (0.474 0.47)17.46% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07% (0.82100000000001 0.82)47.93% (-0.821 -0.82)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.47% (-0.012 -0.01)44.53% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)80.55% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 59.64%
    Oxford City 17.06%
    Draw 23.28%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 13.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.64%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.28%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.06%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Kidderminster
3-2
Oxford City
Morgan-Smith (58'), Lambert (75'), Omotayo (79')
Penny (43'), Lambert (71'), Morgan-Smith (90+6')
Parker (17', 44')
Fleet (36'), Roberts (45+3'), Ashby (68'), Burley (85')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Oxford City
2-2
Kidderminster
Burley (16'), Sanderson (37')
Humphrey-Ewers (35'), Humphrey Ewers (36'), Carroll (45+4'), Smith (55'), McQueen (90')
Hemmings (43' pen.), Morgan-Smith (53')
McNally (35'), Lissimore (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton20133429111842
2Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe21107435152037
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster20114531161537
4King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2111462619737
5Buxton21112834241035
6Chorley2110563025535
7Alfreton TownAlfreton209742519634
8Hereford UnitedHereford2096530191133
9Brackley Town1910362316733
10Chester FCChester209562521432
11South Shields22102103735232
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor217953124730
13Darlington217952521430
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17Leamington FCLeamington206592322123
18Oxford CityOxford City215793138-722
19Warrington Town224992029-921
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2162132138-1720
21Marine AFC2146111226-1418
22RadcliffeRadcliffe2046102339-1618
23Needham Market2145121434-2017
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