Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Macarthur win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 29.2% and a draw has a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.37%).
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
47.8% ( 1.13) | 23% ( 0.02) | 29.2% ( -1.15) |
Both teams to score 62.14% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.27% ( -0.78) | 38.73% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.96% ( -0.83) | 61.03% ( 0.83) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.48% ( 0.12) | 16.52% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.73% ( 0.22) | 46.26% ( -0.22) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.44% ( -1.12) | 25.56% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% ( -1.55) | 60.42% ( 1.55) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.8% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
2 | Auckland FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Macarthur | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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