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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 73.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 10.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Sutton United |
73.78% ( 1.17) | 16.15% ( -0.49) | 10.06% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 49.49% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.32% ( 0.22) | 37.67% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.09% ( 0.23) | 59.91% ( -0.24) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.22% ( 0.32) | 8.77% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.87% ( 0.78) | 30.12% ( -0.79) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.25% ( -1.17) | 45.75% ( 1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.47% ( -0.93) | 81.52% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Sutton United |
2-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 73.77% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.15% | 0-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.76% Total : 10.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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