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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Cagliari logo

Napoli
2 - 1
Cagliari

Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Braga
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Cagliari

Napoli are still some way short of last season's scintillating form, but they should have enough gas left in the tank to secure back-to-back wins by beating Cagliari. The Isolani have picked up just two points on the road this term, so even their hosts' dire home record may not help them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawCagliari
60.15% (0.058 0.06) 21.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 18.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)42.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)64.47% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.0039999999999907 0)13.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.69% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)36.26% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)73.04% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.15%
    Cagliari 18.6%
    Draw 21.24%
NapoliDrawCagliari
2-1 @ 9.96%
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.6%

How you voted: Napoli vs Cagliari

Napoli
84.8%
Draw
10.9%
Cagliari
4.3%
46
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-4
Napoli
Pedro (60')
Lykogiannis (30'), Sottil (53'), Caligara (85')
Lykogiannis (65')
Zielinski (25', 62'), Lozano (74'), Insigne (86' pen.)
Zielinski (72')
Feb 16, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 24
Cagliari
0-1
Napoli

Pedro (12'), Walukiewicz (30'), Nandez (74')
Mertens (66')
Zielinski (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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