Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli2 - 2Roma
We said: Napoli 1-2 Roma
Six of the last seven goals scored in games between Roma and Napoli have arrived after the 75th minute, so history suggests a late winner could be on the cards. The hosts' home record is underwhelming, so the Giallorossi may deepen their misery with a rare win in Naples. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Roma |
49.01% ( 0.96) | 24.19% ( -0.33) | 26.79% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
