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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Swindon Town |
51.27% ( -0.01) | 22.6% ( 0) | 26.13% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.96% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.84% ( 0.01) | 39.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.51% ( 0.01) | 61.49% ( -0.01) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.55% | 15.44% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.71% | 44.29% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( 0.01) | 27.9% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% ( 0.01) | 63.52% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.98% 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 26.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 31 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 29 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |