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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Swindon Town

Notts County
2 - 0
Swindon

McGoldrick (17', 36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kilkenny (29'), Delaney (58'), Clarke (82'), Wright (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Walsall
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 Colchester
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-2 Swindon Town

While Notts County and Swindon are at opposite ends of the table, the hosts have won just 50% of their 10 fixtures on home turf, while the visitors have notched one win from 13 road matches, albeit playing a league-high seven away draws. Despite the Magpies' tag as favourites, Saturday's encounter could see both sides share the spoils in a high-scoring draw in the East Midlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town
51.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.6% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)39.16% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55%15.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71%44.29%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.010999999999996 0.01)27.9% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.014000000000003 0.01)63.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.27%
    Swindon Town 26.13%
    Draw 22.59%
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 26.13%

How you voted: Notts County vs Swindon

Notts County
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Swindon Town
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Swindon
1-2
Notts County
Kilkenny (21')
McGoldrick (30', 80')
McGoldrick (69')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
2-1
Notts County
Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
Jatta (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2661372928131
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17Harrogate TownHarrogate2785142337-1429
18BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
19Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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