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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Barnsley

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Barnsley


Brown (49'), Smyth (88'), Rodrigues (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Long (29' og.)
Russell (37'), Durand de Gevigney (64'), Cosgrove (77'), O'Keeffe (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Barnsley

 This is a really tough match to call, and both managers would likely accept a point if it were offered ahead of kickoff. There will be a desire from both not to lose this game, which could make it a cagey affair, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
46.01% (-0.012 -0.01) 23.93%30.05% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.37% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)42.62% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)65.03% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.27% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.01100000000001 0.01)26.95% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.29% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 46.01%
    Barnsley 30.06%
    Draw 23.92%
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.06%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Barnsley

Oxford United
54.2%
Draw
16.7%
Barnsley
29.2%
24
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Barnsley
1-3
Oxford Utd
Cole (70')
Styles (5'), Collins (6'), Durand de Gevigney (22'), Williams (80'), Kitching (88')
Brannagan (8' pen.), Williams (54' og.), Goodrham (88')
Brown (55'), Brannagan (78')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Barnsley
2-0
Oxford Utd
Tedic (45+1', 51')
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Oxford Utd
1-2
Barnsley
Moore (71')
Thomas (30'), Cadden (58')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Oxford Utd
2-2
Barnsley
Ruffels (25'), Mackie (48')
Nelson (36'), Dickie (90')
Thiam (70'), Moore (79')
Thiam (37'), Dougall (39'), Lindsay (66'), Williams (73'), Mowatt (87')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Barnsley
4-0
Oxford Utd
Thiam (20', 29'), Potts (77'), Adeboyejo (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
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