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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Leverkusen logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Simons (7'), Openda (56')
Simons (71'), Schlager (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tella (47'), Tah (63'), Hincapie (90+1')
Tah (12'), Alonso (34'), Stanisic (38'), Wirtz (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

An entertaining yet closely-fought contest is set to be in store between Leipzig and Leverkusen, who have both won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine meetings against one another. Leverkusen have already dropped points in two games against fellow top-four teams this term, and Leipzig are certainly no pushovers on their day, but we believe that Alonso's side will ultimately find a way to claim maximum points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
37.25% (-0.755 -0.76) 24.42% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 38.33% (0.83 0.83)
Both teams to score 59.88% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.07% (0.35 0.35)42.92% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.67% (0.349 0.35)65.33% (-0.345 -0.34)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)22.89% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.35% (-0.343 -0.34)56.65% (0.345 0.34)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.583 0.58)22.34% (-0.582 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.864 0.86)55.82% (-0.861 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 37.25%
    Bayer Leverkusen 38.33%
    Draw 24.42%
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.073 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.33%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs B. Leverkusen

RB Leipzig
26.9%
Draw
17.6%
Bayer Leverkusen
55.6%
108
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
B. Leverkusen
3-2
RB Leipzig
Frimpong (24'), Tah (35'), Wirtz (64')
Okoh Boniface (69')
Olmo (39'), Openda (71')
Seiwald (62'), Lukeba (81')
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 17, 2022 6.30pm
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
RB Leipzig
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Silva (62')
Forsberg (38')
Wirtz (21'), Diaby (34'), Frimpong (64')
Andrich (14'), Hradecky (82'), Frimpong (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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