Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig0 - 1Real Madrid
Reaction
Real Madrid's Brahim Diaz allays injury fears after RB Leipzig victory
Real Madrid midfielder Brahim Diaz confirms that the injury he suffered in their 1-0 win away to RB Leipzig is not as serious as first feared.
Feb 14, 00:03
Carlo Ancelotti plays down Brahim Diaz injury fears
Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti plays down claims that Brahim Diaz suffered a potentially long-term injury against RB Leipzig.
Feb 14, 17:26
The Match
Match Report
Brahim Diaz's sublime second-half strike guides Real Madrid to a narrow first-leg victory over RB Leipzig in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 at the Red Bull Arena.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League last-16 first leg with RB Leipzig.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League last-16 first leg with RB Leipzig.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Girona
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.77%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Real Madrid |
36.32% ( 0.03) | 23.45% ( -0) | 40.22% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.45% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
