We said: Servette 1-1 Roma
While embroiled in a very competitive title race domestically with a trip to Young Boys coming up, Servette will look to keep their fantastic home record going here.
Roma's woes on the road this season are well documented, and they may come unstuck despite such a comfortable victory against the same opponents at the Olimpico on matchday two.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.