Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Real Valladolid |
55.6% ( 0.06) | 23.24% ( -0.18) | 21.16% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.71% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.72% ( 0.87) | 47.28% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.49% ( 0.8) | 69.51% ( -0.8) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.16% ( 0.33) | 16.85% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.15% ( 0.59) | 46.85% ( -0.59) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.39% ( 0.61) | 36.61% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.6% ( 0.6) | 73.4% ( -0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 55.59% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |