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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Real Valladolid logo

Sevilla
2 - 1
Valladolid

Torres (45' og.), Ejuke (85')
Gudelj (21'), Lukebakio (66'), Marcao (78'), Fernandez (90+1')
Marcao (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perez (56')
Pezzolano (7'), Maranhao (33'), Rosa (37'), Juric (82'), Torres (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 2-1 Sevilla
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 0-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, September 21 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Real Valladolid

Sevilla are a difficult team to back at the moment, but the same can also be said for Real Valladolid. Four of the last five league meetings between these two sides have finished 1-1, and we are backing the same scoreline to occur on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawReal Valladolid
55.6% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 23.24% (-0.175 -0.18) 21.16% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.71% (0.712 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (0.868 0.87)47.28% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (0.801 0.8)69.51% (-0.801 -0.8)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.334 0.33)16.85% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.15% (0.59200000000001 0.59)46.85% (-0.593 -0.59)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.606 0.61)36.61% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.604 0.6)73.4% (-0.605 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 55.59%
    Real Valladolid 21.16%
    Draw 23.24%
SevillaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.033 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 55.59%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.24%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.16%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Valladolid

Sevilla
65.4%
Draw
28.8%
Real Valladolid
5.8%
156
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Valladolid
0-3
Sevilla
Mir (50'), Papu (78'), Corona (90+3')
Aug 19, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 2
Sevilla
1-1
Valladolid
Rekik (86')
Montiel (68'), Ocampos (88'), Isco (90+9')
Acuna (89')
Anuar (80')
Perez (83'), Olaza (90+4')
El Yamiq (89')
Mar 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Valladolid
1-1
Sevilla
Orellana (44' pen.)
Mesa (52'), Olaza (52'), Orellana (64')
Bono (94')
Lopetegui (59')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 14
Sevilla
1-1
Valladolid
Ocampos (31' pen.)
Ocampos (59'), Gudelj (85'), de Jong (88')
Garcia (87')
Bruno (8'), Fede (30'), Orellana (43'), Maranhao (73')
Jun 26, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Real Madrid14103130111933
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao157532214826
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca157351513224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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