Taca da Liga | Final
Jan 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Pina Manique
Sporting Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
Benfica win 7-6 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Porto
Tuesday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Tuesday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
38
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
With the Taca da Liga title on the line, we expect Sporting Lisbon and Benfica to go all out in search of the win, serving up another classic in the heated Lisbon derby. Having bottled the Portuguese Super Cup back in August, we are backing the Leoes to come out guns blazing and extend their recent dominance against Benfica to clinch their first piece of silverware this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
46.27% ( -0.12) | 23.8% ( -0.03) | 29.94% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
