World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Venezuela1 - 1Brazil
FT(HT: 0-1)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Venezuela and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for their World Cup qualifying clash away to Venezuela on Thursday.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Venezuela 1-2 Brazil
Wins were expected last month, and if they did not arrive, Dorival Junior would have been in big trouble, but actually getting those six points on the board was hugely important and should calm the nerves and allow Brazil to sail through the rest of this qualifying campaign. Venezuela are yet to lose at home in this section, but form has tailed off in general and they will do very well to overcome a strong, but albeit inconsistent, Brazil side here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Venezuela | Draw | Brazil |
21.36% ( -0.64) | 25.98% ( -0.49) | 52.66% ( 1.13) |
Both teams to score 45.02% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.39% ( 1.08) | 57.6% ( -1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.62% ( 0.85) | 78.38% ( -0.85) |
Venezuela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.7% ( -0.04) | 42.3% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.31% ( -0.03) | 78.69% ( 0.03) |
Brazil Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.03% ( 0.95) | 21.97% ( -0.94) |