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Championship header 2

League Two
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Swindon Town

Walsall
2 - 1
Swindon

Faal (11'), Johnson (89')
Stirk (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-0 Swindon Town

 Walsall need points for playoffs but are shaky at home recently. Swindon are in good form but terrible away. The hosts' home record might hold, earning them a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Walsall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Walsall.

Result
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
48.96% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 27.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (0.026000000000003 0.03)39.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)62.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)16.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03)62.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 48.96%
    Swindon Town 27.99%
    Draw 23.05%
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: Walsall vs Swindon

Walsall
63.2%
Draw
5.3%
Swindon Town
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Swindon
2-0
Walsall
Austin (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (88')
Khan (36'), Hutton (90+4')

Hutchinson (25'), Knowles (62'), Gordon (90+4')
Knowles (66')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Walsall
0-0
Swindon
> Preview
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Swindon
1-2
Walsall
Iandolo (33')
Hutton (45+1' og.), Monthe (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Walsall
2-0
Swindon
Johnson (80' pen.), Abraham (81')

Adeloye (81'), Harries (85'), Darcy (90+5')
Minturn (78')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Walsall
0-3
Swindon

Daniels (45+2'), Monthe (73')
McKirdy (3'), Payne (25', 45+3')
Williams (54'), Reed (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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