Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 13, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lens3 - 2Bordeaux
Kalimuendo (10'), Kakuta (22' pen.), Fofana (26')
Doucoure (45'), Sotoca (61'), Haise (82'), Frankowski (88')
Doucoure (45'), Sotoca (61'), Haise (82'), Frankowski (88')
FT(HT: 3-1)
We said: Lens 2-0 Bordeaux
After their recent defensive disasters, Petkovic will surely look to shore up his defence and perhaps look to steal one goal against a side who have also struggled in the last couple of weeks. We do not think it will be enough, though, and are backing the hosts to leave with a comfortable two-goal victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 64.94% | 20.15% | 14.92% |
| Both teams to score 50.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
