Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greenock Morton in this match.