Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 1Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 1-3 Benfica
Monday, April 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, April 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Vizela
Saturday, April 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 3-1 Braga
Given the stakes of the game for both sides, we expect a thrilling affair at Estadio da Luz. While we expect Braga to put up a fight, Benfica are favourites to get the job done on home turf and we are tipping them to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for Braga had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Braga |
54.13% ( 0) | 22.06% ( -0) | 23.8% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 60.28% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
