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Championship | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Middlesbrough

FT(HT: 0-1)
McGree (17')
Howson (23'), Latte Lath (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Middlesbrough

Birmingham are in desperate need of three points, and we reckon that a fired-up atmosphere at St Andrew's could help the hosts to victory. Middlesbrough have been impressive in recent matches, but another match on the road in the space of four days might prove too much for Carrick's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
33.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.59% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 41.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.055 0.05)44.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.053999999999995 0.05)66.69% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.033000000000001 0.03)21.2% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.048999999999999 0.05)54.09% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.48%
    Middlesbrough 41.93%
    Draw 24.59%
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.81%
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

Birmingham City
39.3%
Draw
16.2%
Middlesbrough
44.4%
117
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
1-0
Birmingham
Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-3
Middlesbrough
Chong (74')
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Birmingham
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')
Pedersen (86')
Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
0-2
Birmingham
Roberts (53'), Hogan (56')
Sanderson (19'), Gardner (45+1'), McGree (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
2Burnley179622161533
3Sunderland1796226121433
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough1683529191027
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Millwall166641914524
9Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
11Bristol City175752021-122
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
13Stoke CityStoke175661920-121
14Derby CountyDerby165562020020
15Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City173681623-715
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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