Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Braga |
20.64% ( -0.17) | 23.72% ( -0.13) | 55.65% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 50.48% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.14% ( 0.31) | 49.86% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.14% ( 0.28) | 71.86% ( -0.27) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.39% ( 0) | 38.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.64% ( -0) | 75.36% ( 0.01) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.24% ( 0.23) | 17.76% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.54% ( 0.39) | 48.46% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.64% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.5% Total : 55.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |