League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle2 - 2Northampton
Coverage of the League One clash between Carlisle United and Northampton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Carlisle
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Northampton Town |
45.39% ( 0.12) | 25.9% ( -0.03) | 28.71% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
