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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crawley
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-5 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

 This is a really tough match to call, as both sides will enter the contest in strong form. Crawley have home advantage, but AFC Wimbledon are playing some excellent stuff at the moment, and we are therefore finding it difficult to separate the two teams in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
32.93% (0.073 0.07) 22.99% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 44.09% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.28% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.2% (-0.347 -0.35)36.8% (0.351 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.03% (-0.38 -0.38)58.97% (0.384 0.38)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.124 -0.12)22.38% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.188 -0.19)55.89% (0.193 0.19)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)17.19% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.346 -0.35)47.46% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 32.93%
    AFC Wimbledon 44.09%
    Draw 22.99%
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.76% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 32.93%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 44.09%

How you voted: Crawley vs AFC Wimbledon

Crawley Town
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
AFC Wimbledon
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Crawley
Nadesan (5')
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Crawley
Pigott (22')
Rudoni (90+4')
Nadesan (30'), Watters (50')
Powell (45+3')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Crawley
Robinson (83')
Smith (12'), Meades (61')

Della Verde (83'), Dunne (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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