Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Hibernian |
48.01% ( 1.21) | 24.41% ( -0.05) | 27.58% ( -1.16) |
Both teams to score 56% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.71% ( -0.5) | 46.28% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( -0.48) | 68.57% ( 0.48) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.64% ( 0.3) | 19.36% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.86% ( 0.49) | 51.14% ( -0.49) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.45% ( -1.1) | 30.55% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.22% ( -1.33) | 66.78% ( 1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |