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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Cheltenham Town

MK Dons
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Gilbey (22'), Harrison (75'), Maguire (86')
Thompson-Sommers (34')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Young (6'), Miller (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-2 Cheltenham Town

Both teams are in good form, and it is difficult to pick a winner based on their showings in recent weeks. It would not be surprising if MK Dons and Cheltenham each produced a number of chances over the course of the game, but ultimately shared the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
44.86% (-0.553 -0.55) 24.18% (-0.023 -0.02) 30.96% (0.578 0.58)
Both teams to score 58.98% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (0.389 0.39)43.35% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (0.38 0.38)65.75% (-0.378 -0.38)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)19.5% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (-0.127 -0.13)51.38% (0.128 0.13)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (0.56800000000001 0.57)26.73% (-0.566 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (0.743 0.74)61.99% (-0.742 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 44.86%
    Cheltenham Town 30.96%
    Draw 24.18%
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Cheltenham

MK Dons
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Cheltenham Town
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
MK Dons
2-2
Cheltenham
Eisa (45+2', 59' pen.)
Bonds (12'), May (90+7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
MK Dons
1-2
Cheltenham
Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')
May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
Boyle (89')
May (72')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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