MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 22:58:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Watford logo

Plymouth
2 - 2
Watford

Gray (23', 90+6')
Mumba (1'), Gibson (54')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Issouf Bayo (9'), Porteous (41')
Porteous (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Watford

Given their contrasting home and away records, many will back Plymouth to come through this contest. However, we are backing an entertaining share of the spoils, a result that would not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
39.21% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 23.45% (0.251 0.25) 37.34% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 63.57% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (-1.289 -1.29)38.14% (1.29 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (-1.385 -1.39)60.41% (1.387 1.39)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)19.83% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09% (-0.954 -0.95)51.91% (0.95699999999999 0.96)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)20.71% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-1.052 -1.05)53.32% (1.054 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 39.21%
    Watford 37.34%
    Draw 23.45%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.286 0.29)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.248 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 37.34%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Watford

Plymouth Argyle
36.2%
Draw
21.7%
Watford
42.1%
152
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
2-0
Plymouth
Rajovic (17', 73')
Morris (41'), Dele-Bashiru (45'), Tikvic (84')

Houghton (45+1')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Plymouth
3-3
Watford
Azaz (20'), Whittaker (27'), Hardie (42')
Mumba (59'), Randell (86')
Kayembe (11'), Kone (38'), Andrews (57')
Livermore (43'), Healey (87'), Asprilla (88'), Martins (88')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Watford
0-0
Plymouth
Scarr (71'), Mumba (78')
Apr 10, 2010 3pm
Sep 15, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Watford

Timar (27'), Arnason (37'), McNamee (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
2Burnley179622161533
3Sunderland1796226121433
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough1683529191027
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Millwall166641914524
9Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
11Bristol City175752021-122
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
13Stoke CityStoke175661920-121
14Derby CountyDerby165562020020
15Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City173681623-715
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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