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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Livingston logo

St Johnstone
1 - 1
Livingston

Clark (87')
Robinson (31'), Sprangler (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shinnie (37')
Montano (68'), Guthrie (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-2 St Johnstone
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-3 Motherwell
Wednesday, February 28 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 3-0 Livingston

This is a classic 'six-pointer' due to how close the two teams are in the league table and the fact that time is running out for both sides to secure their Scottish Premiership status for next season. St Johnstone will be the favourites as they have the home advantage and have been a stronger team throughout the season, and that should be enough to see them dispatch Livingston. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawLivingston
34.89% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04) 27.75% (0.064 0.06) 37.36% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.51% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (-0.248 -0.25)57.34% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (-0.198 -0.2)78.17% (0.193 0.19)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (-0.151 -0.15)31.12% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)67.44% (0.169 0.17)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43% (-0.14 -0.14)29.57% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-0.17 -0.17)65.6% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 34.89%
    Livingston 37.36%
    Draw 27.74%
St JohnstoneDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 10.74% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.89%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.086 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 11.21% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.83% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.36%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Livingston

St Johnstone
44.4%
Draw
55.6%
Livingston
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Dec 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Livingston
0-0
St Johnstone
Pittman (49'), Devlin (64')
Kucheriavyi (39'), Carey (90+1')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
St Johnstone
1-1
Livingston
Costelloe (36')
Sprangler (2'), May (90+2')
Gordon (83')
Kelly (57' pen.)
MacKay (48'), Holt (80')
May 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
St Johnstone
2-0
Livingston
Wright (17'), Kane (68' pen.)

Penrice (40'), de Lucas (66'), Kelly (89')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Livingston
2-0
St Johnstone
Nouble (23'), Kelly (38')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
St Johnstone
2-4
Livingston
Murphy (65'), McLennan (67')
Kelly (8', 15'), Penrice (39', 81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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