Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.05%. A draw has a probability of 14.5% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 8.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.32%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (2.65%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
77.05% ( -0.2) | 14.53% ( 0.02) | 8.42% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 48.56% ( 0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.78% ( 0.58) | 35.22% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.76% ( 0.64) | 57.24% ( -0.64) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.51% ( 0.09) | 7.49% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.11% ( 0.23) | 26.89% ( -0.23) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.49% ( 0.84) | 47.51% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.13% ( 0.61) | 82.87% ( -0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 77.04% | 1-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.8% Total : 14.53% | 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 8.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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