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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Morecambe

Accrington
2 - 1
Morecambe

Costelloe (36' pen., 45+1')
Rawson (51'), Costelloe (75'), O'Brien (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tollitt (86')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
41.57% (0.064 0.06) 25.92% (0.222 0.22) 32.5% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-1.027 -1.03)50.44% (1.025 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.916 -0.92)72.37% (0.914 0.91)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.423 -0.42)24.03% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (-0.605 -0.6)58.29% (0.603 0.6)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.693 -0.69)29.22% (0.689 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-0.862 -0.86)65.17% (0.86 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 41.57%
    Morecambe 32.51%
    Draw 25.91%
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.287 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.191 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.51%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-2
Morecambe
Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morecambe
1-1
Accrington
Connolly (64')
Bloxham (61'), Senior (72'), Bedeau (87')
Leigh (70' pen.)
Andrews (61'), Coleman (62'), Hills (63'), Whalley (65')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Morecambe
2-0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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