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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Keillor-Dunn (11'), Phillips (65')
Earl (57'), Roberts (90+6'), O'Keeffe (90+2'), Connell (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sotiriou (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Barnsley head into the weekend short on attacking options, and while they have made a strong start under Darrell Clarke, we anticipate them being held by a Bristol Rovers side with momentum of their own. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
40.94% (-0.426 -0.43) 25.39% (-0.208 -0.21) 33.66% (0.633 0.63)
Both teams to score 55.88% (0.884 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (1.065 1.07)47.87% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.972 0.97)70.05% (-0.973 -0.97)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (0.255 0.25)23.21% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (0.371 0.37)57.11% (-0.372 -0.37)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (0.913 0.91)27.23% (-0.914 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35% (1.173 1.17)62.65% (-1.175 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 40.94%
    Bristol Rovers 33.66%
    Draw 25.38%
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.343 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
64.6%
Draw
27.1%
Bristol Rovers
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Barnsley
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Cole (43'), O'Keeffe (73')
McAtee (21'), Durand de Gevigney (67'), Kane (79')
Martin (68')
Evans (90+6')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Barnsley
Sinclair (81')
Cadden (7')
Cotter (23'), Russell (63'), Kane (82')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Barnsley
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Cole (3'), Williams (13'), Benson (56')

Finley (35'), Coutts (35'), Connolly (58')
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Barnsley
Rodman (71', 92')
Upson (77')
Moore (12')
Lindsay (37'), Mowatt (56')
Lindsay (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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