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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Dortmund logo

Bayern
0 - 2
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (10'), Ryerson (83')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Karim Adeyemi and Julian Ryerson secure a 2-0 victory for Borussia Dortmund in Der Klassiker, leaving Bayern Munich's title ambitions in severe jeopardy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darmstadt 2-5 Bayern
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
69.07% (0.0010000000000048 0) 16.59%14.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.18% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)27.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.65% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)7.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.48% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.24% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.73% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 69.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 14.34%
    Draw 16.59%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 7.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 5.19%
4-0 @ 4.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.71%
5-0 @ 2.4%
5-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.59%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-1 @ 2.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-2 @ 1.52%
1-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 14.34%

How you voted: Bayern vs Dortmund

Bayern Munich
81.7%
Draw
13.0%
Borussia Dortmund
5.2%
115
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Dortmund
0-4
Bayern

Hummels (61'), Ryerson (74'), Sabitzer (76')
Upamecano (4'), Kane (9', 72', 90+3')
Sane (22'), Tuchel (42'), Laimer (85')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Kobel (13' og.), Muller (18', 23'), Coman (50')
Can (72' pen.), Malen (90')
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dortmund
2-2
Bayern
Moukoko (74'), Modeste (90+5')
Goretzka (33'), Sane (53')
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Bayern
3-1
Dortmund
Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')
Lewandowski (9', 77'), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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