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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
69.07% ( 0) | 16.59% | 14.34% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 62.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.18% ( -0.01) | 27.81% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.49% ( -0.01) | 48.51% ( 0.01) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.65% ( -0) | 7.34% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.48% ( -0) | 26.52% ( 0) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( -0.01) | 32.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.27% ( -0.01) | 68.73% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.95% 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.5% Total : 69.07% | 1-1 @ 7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.59% | 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-1 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-2 @ 1.52% 1-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.73% Total : 14.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |