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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cheltenham Town

Carlisle
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Robson (46'), Neal (69'), Mellish (82'), Sadi (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Archer (17')
Stubbs (29'), Young (55'), Payne (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
35.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 25.25% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 39.28% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)46.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (-0.084 -0.08)69.17% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)23.63% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-0.135 -0.13)57.72% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 35.47%
    Cheltenham Town 39.28%
    Draw 25.25%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.47%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.28%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
0-1
Carlisle
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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