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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
31.26% ( -1.37) | 23.29% ( 0.51) | 45.44% ( 0.86) |
Both teams to score 62.35% ( -2.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.01% ( -3.11) | 38.99% ( 3.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.68% ( -3.34) | 61.31% ( 3.33) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( -2.29) | 24.4% ( 2.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% ( -3.34) | 58.81% ( 3.33) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% ( -0.89) | 17.52% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.96% ( -1.57) | 48.03% ( 1.57) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.6) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.85) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.57) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.96% Total : 45.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |