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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Hellas Verona logo

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Beltran (78')
Terracciano (2'), Biraghi (36'), Barak (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dawidowicz (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Hellas Verona

Neither side has a reliable striker to dig them out of trouble when most needed, with goals being gleaned from several different sources. An intense schedule may mean Fiorentina will lack a little intensity, but they should still have enough in hand to see off struggling Verona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona
73.3% (0.102 0.1) 16.62% (-0.156 -0.16) 10.08% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.81% (0.767 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.12% (0.899 0.9)39.87% (-0.901 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.76% (0.925 0.92)62.23% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.55% (0.251 0.25)9.44% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.28% (0.596 0.6)31.71% (-0.598 -0.6)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.79% (0.7 0.7)47.2% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.36% (0.521 0.52)82.64% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 73.29%
    Hellas Verona 10.08%
    Draw 16.62%
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 12.41% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-0 @ 9.77% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 5.76% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.33% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.088 0.09)
5-0 @ 2.72% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.04% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.07 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 73.29%
1-1 @ 7.89% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 16.62%
0-1 @ 3.34% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.96% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 10.08%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona

Fiorentina
80.0%
Draw
8.0%
Hellas Verona
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hellas Verona
0-3
Fiorentina
Barak (12'), Cabral (38'), Biraghi (89')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Piatek (10')
Italiano (86')
Caprari (20' pen.)
Gunter (37'), Simeone (56'), Ceccherini (72'), Bessa (82')
Dec 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Hellas Verona
1-1
Fiorentina
Lasagna (17')
Caprari (46'), Ilic (47')
Castrovilli (81')
Terzic (84')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Hellas Verona
1-2
Fiorentina
Salcedo (72')
Gunter (68'), Sturaro (90+1')
Vlahovic (45+2' pen.), Caceres (65')
Bonaventura (19'), Kouame (90+3'), Martinez (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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