We said: Kosovo 2-0 Andorra
Andorra undoubtedly provide the majority of their opponents with a more disciplined task than they managed to in previous years, but they clearly lack individual quality to hurt teams on a regular basis.
With Romania simultaneously hosting Belarus, Kosovo will not want to lose further ground on one of their main rivals for the second automatic qualification spot in Group I, and we expect them to claim a relatively comfortable victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.