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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
63.38% ( -0.39) | 19.79% ( 0.12) | 16.82% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 56.51% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.54% ( -0.08) | 38.46% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.25% ( -0.09) | 60.75% ( 0.08) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.45% ( -0.13) | 11.54% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.53% ( -0.27) | 36.47% ( 0.27) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.89% ( 0.26) | 36.11% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.11% ( 0.26) | 72.89% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.17% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.79% | 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 16.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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