Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza0 - 1AC Milan
We said: Monza 1-2 AC Milan
On the road, Milan cannot be relied upon to secure a positive result, as they have struggled to pick up points away from San Siro this season. Monza's lack of confidence could still see the Rossoneri prevail, though, and if the visitors score first then victory should be theirs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Monza had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
35.14% ( 1.06) | 25.85% ( 0.14) | 39.01% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
