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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 27
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Accrington Stanley

Newport
1 - 3
Accrington

Morris (13')
Bondswell (45'), Bondswell (90+8'), Jameson (90+8')
Lewis (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henderson (22'), Leigh (46'), Pritchard (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Accrington Stanley

The form of both Newport and Accrington is that of two sides with only pride at stake between now and the end of the season, so the shackles could either come off or the two sides will choose to expend little energy in Tuesday's bottom-half showdown. The latter scenario is not beyond the realm of possibility due to the limited recovery time, and we cannot pick a clear winner between the two outfits on this occasion, so an uneventful stalemate could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
46.77% (0.07 0.07) 23.73% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 29.49% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.18% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81% (0.068000000000005 0.07)49.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)62.38% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 46.77%
    Accrington Stanley 29.49%
    Draw 23.73%
Newport CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.49%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Accrington
3-0
Newport
Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Newport
1-0
Accrington
Randall (60')
Rigg (29'), O'Brien (38'), Owen-Evans (96')

Brown (83'), McCartan (91')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-3
Newport
Donacien (79')
Gornell (44'), McCartan (85')
Healey (47'), Barnum-Bobb (62'), Sheehan (94')
Rigg (56'), Myrie-Williams (65'), Sheehan (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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