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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 27
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Accrington Stanley

Newport
1 - 3
Accrington

Morris (13')
Bondswell (45'), Bondswell (90+8'), Jameson (90+8')
Lewis (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henderson (22'), Leigh (46'), Pritchard (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Accrington Stanley

 The form of both Newport and Accrington is that of two sides with only pride at stake between now and the end of the season, so the shackles could either come off or the two sides will choose to expend little energy in Tuesday's bottom-half showdown. The latter scenario is not beyond the realm of possibility due to the limited recovery time, and we cannot pick a clear winner between the two outfits on this occasion, so an uneventful stalemate could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
46.77% (0.07 0.07) 23.73% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 29.49% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.18% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81% (0.068000000000005 0.07)49.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)62.38% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 46.77%
    Accrington Stanley 29.49%
    Draw 23.73%
Newport CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.49%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Accrington
3-0
Newport
Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Newport
Wilks (88')
Nouble (48')
Tozer (90')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Newport
1-0
Accrington
Randall (60')
Rigg (29'), O'Brien (38'), Owen-Evans (96')

Brown (83'), McCartan (91')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-3
Newport
Donacien (79')
Gornell (44'), McCartan (85')
Healey (47'), Barnum-Bobb (62'), Sheehan (94')
Rigg (56'), Myrie-Williams (65'), Sheehan (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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