Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a St Mirren win it was 2-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Celtic |
13.58% ( -0.19) | 17.75% ( 0.02) | 68.66% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.41% ( -0.56) | 35.59% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.36% ( -0.62) | 57.64% ( 0.62) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.52% ( -0.64) | 38.47% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.77% ( -0.61) | 75.22% ( 0.61) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.58% ( -0.11) | 9.42% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.33% ( -0.26) | 31.67% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.58% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.75% | 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 7.96% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.43% Total : 68.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |