Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 2, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica2 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Chaves
Friday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, March 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
We expect this match to be a very tight affair as both sides have several quality players that should cancel each other out. There is a feeling that both sides will be cautious and smart with their approach given that they will face off in the league once again on Saturday. We are calling a draw but both sides should find the net in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
53.77% ( -0.05) | 22.75% ( 0.03) | 23.48% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
