League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton1 - 0Cheltenham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Cheltenham Town
Saturday's test will certainly not be an easy one for Bolton, with Cheltenham Town looking a completely new side and marching towards safety under Clarke, but the hosts do still boast far more quality throughout their squad and should have what it takes to get over the line on home turf and make it five straight three-point hauls in League One. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
64.95% ( -0.01) | 19.59% ( 0.01) | 15.46% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
