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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 18
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Seddon (45+4')
Moon (34'), Nsiala (50'), Crocombe (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taylor (51'), Davies (71')
Ferry (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 2-1 Cheltenham Town

Burton may have lost out to Lincoln at the weekend, but they have won three of their previous five home matches, and we think they will draw upon that success to claim a narrow victory over a Cheltenham side that has lost their last three away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
32.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 39.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)56.68% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)77.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)32.05% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.023 0.02)68.52% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)63.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 32.96%
    Cheltenham Town 39.52%
    Draw 27.5%
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.96%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 39.52%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cheltenham

Burton Albion
65.2%
Draw
27.3%
Cheltenham Town
7.6%
66
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
0-0
Burton Albion
Ferry (88')
Sweeney (35'), Powell (44'), Oshilaja (50'), Crocombe (71')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cheltenham
1-1
Burton Albion
Wright (21')
Blair (16')
Jebbison (51')
Oshilaja (64'), Hamer (78')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Cheltenham
Akins (67')
Hamer (82'), Brayford (90+2')
Wright (28')
Lloyd (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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