Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 69.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Ayr United |
69.02% ( -0.16) | 18.72% ( 0.29) | 12.26% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 48.1% ( -1.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.48% ( -1.6) | 43.52% ( 1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.09% ( -1.59) | 65.91% ( 1.59) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.5% ( -0.49) | 11.5% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.63% ( -1.08) | 36.37% ( 1.08) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.35% ( -1.22) | 45.65% ( 1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.55% ( -0.97) | 81.45% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Ayr United |
2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.54% Total : 69.01% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.72% | 0-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.14% Total : 12.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
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