MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 00:42:28| >> :600:1553727:1553727:
Lincoln City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
LNER Stadium
Notts County

Lincoln
2 - 0
Notts County

Burroughs (6'), Vale (67')
O'Connor (45+1'), Shodipo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tipton (15')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Lincoln City and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Crawley
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawNotts County
30.58% (2.431 2.43) 24.24% (0.5 0.5) 45.18% (-2.931 -2.93)
Both teams to score 58.57% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (-0.876 -0.88)43.81% (0.875 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (-0.861 -0.86)66.2% (0.86099999999999 0.86)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (1.209 1.21)27.2% (-1.208 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (1.549 1.55)62.61% (-1.549 -1.55)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-1.539 -1.54)19.55% (1.539 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (-2.575 -2.58)51.46% (2.575 2.58)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 30.58%
    Notts County 45.18%
    Draw 24.24%
Lincoln CityDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.411 0.41)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.484 0.48)
2-0 @ 4.51% (0.455 0.46)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.279 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.256 0.26)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.58%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 6% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.201 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.08% (-0.435 -0.44)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.389 -0.39)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.442 -0.44)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.18%

Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Notts County
0-2
Lincoln

Baldwin (29'), O'Brien (44')
Baldwin (56')
Roughan (23'), Sorensen (48')
Smith (15'), O'Connor (41')
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Notts County
1-1
Lincoln
Stead (2' pen.)
Boldewijn (20'), Stubbs (71'), Doyle (85'), Milsom (95')
Andrade (45')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 5
Lincoln
3-1
Notts County
Frecklington (7'), Andrade (33'), Anderson (55')
Kellett (19')
Tootle (38')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Lincoln
2-2
Notts County
Frecklington (37'), Green (67')
Rhead (30'), Williams (49'), Waterfall (82')
Stead (35'), Grant (77')
Hawkridge (59'), Alessandra (70'), Grant (81'), Fitzsimons (90')
Nov 7, 2017 7.45pm
-
Lincoln
2-1
Notts County
Bird (37' og.), Ginnelly (86')
Forte (27')
Hollis (52'), Smith (87')
rhs 2.0
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