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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 6, 2024 at 8am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
0 - 2
Shonan Bellmare

FT(HT: 0-1)
Suzuki (32'), Suzuki (51')
Fukuda (64'), Okuno (66')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, September 28 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 3-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawShonan Bellmare
36.92% (0.126 0.13) 25.67% (0.137 0.14) 37.41% (-0.262 -0.26)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.474 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.608 -0.61)48.69% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (-0.557 -0.56)70.8% (0.556 0.56)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)25.71% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.288 -0.29)60.63% (0.28899999999999 0.29)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.423 -0.42)25.43% (0.425 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.583 -0.58)60.25% (0.584 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 36.92%
    Shonan Bellmare 37.41%
    Draw 25.67%
Tokyo VerdyDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.92%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.162 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.41%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 11am
Gameweek 6
Shonan Bellmare
1-2
Tokyo Verdy
Lukian (15')
Fukuda (32'), Tanaka (40'), Okuno (73')
Taniguchi (75'), Yamami (86')
rhs 2.0
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