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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Stevenage

Lincoln
0 - 0
Stevenage


House (33'), Erhahon (36')
FT

Reid (27'), Evans (28'), Vancooten (75'), Freeman (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Stevenage

Few professional sides in England can boast as good a record as Lincoln over the past month, as they have kept their playoff hopes alive with a brilliant run, and another win here against a direct promotion rival would be huge. While home comforts have provided Stevenage with two big wins in the past week, they have only won two of their last seven on the road, losing four, and this will be a challenge against a confident Lincoln side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
34.14% (0.102 0.1) 29.72% (-0.108 -0.11) 36.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.87% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.78% (0.35100000000001 0.35)64.22% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.66% (0.25 0.25)83.34% (-0.24799999999999 -0.25)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.261 0.26)35.2% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.271 0.27)71.95% (-0.27 -0.27)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15% (0.194 0.19)33.85% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (0.208 0.21)70.51% (-0.206 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 34.14%
    Stevenage 36.13%
    Draw 29.71%
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 34.14%
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.91% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.71%
0-1 @ 12.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.13%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Stevenage

Lincoln City
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Stevenage
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stevenage
1-0
Lincoln
Reid (68')
Piergianni (28'), Evans (29')

Skubala (0'), Jackson (81')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Lincoln
2-2
Stevenage
Andrade (48', 71')
Bolger (51'), Akinde (88'), Toffolo (89')
Chair (87', 94')
Wildin (89')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln
Akinde (11' pen.)
Akinde (45')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Lincoln
Godden (26')
Wilkinson (82')
Palmer (75' pen.), Raggett (58')
Jones (36'), Green (45'), Bostwick (81'), Woodyard (87'), Farman (93')
Green (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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