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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Norwich logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Norwich

Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Norwich City

Given the quality of some of Boro's players, they may click back into gear at some stage. Nevertheless, that may still not be enough to outclass this Norwich side, who we expect to battle their way to victory at the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
49.08% (-0.192 -0.19) 23.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.04% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-0.112 -0.11)44.32% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.109 -0.11)66.69% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.83% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)18.17% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85% (-0.201 -0.2)49.15% (0.201 0.2)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.047999999999988 0.05)29.93% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.058 0.06)66.03% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.08%
    Norwich City 27.04%
    Draw 23.87%
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.04%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Norwich

Middlesbrough
24.7%
Draw
16.0%
Norwich City
59.3%
150
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (72' pen.)
Sorensen (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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