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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Norwich logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Norwich

Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Norwich City

Given the quality of some of Boro's players, they may click back into gear at some stage. Nevertheless, that may still not be enough to outclass this Norwich side, who we expect to battle their way to victory at the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
49.08% (-0.192 -0.19) 23.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.04% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-0.112 -0.11)44.32% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.109 -0.11)66.69% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.83% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)18.17% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85% (-0.201 -0.2)49.15% (0.201 0.2)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.047999999999988 0.05)29.93% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.058 0.06)66.03% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.08%
    Norwich City 27.04%
    Draw 23.87%
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.04%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Norwich

Middlesbrough
24.7%
Draw
16.0%
Norwich City
59.3%
150
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (72' pen.)
Sorensen (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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