Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jan 27, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
Puebla1 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Necaxa
Saturday, January 20 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, January 20 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Mazatlan
Saturday, January 20 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, January 20 at 11pm in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Puebla | Draw | Toluca |
30.57% | 23.22% ( 0) | 46.2% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.98% | 39.02% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.66% | 61.34% ( 0) |
Puebla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% | 24.83% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.58% | 59.42% ( 0) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.76% ( 0) | 17.24% ( 0) |