MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 20:13:30| >> :60:349:349:
New York City
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 2, 2024 at 9pm UK
Citi Field
FC Cincinnati

NY City
3 - 1
Cincinnati

Martinez (22'), Martins (40'), Rodriguez (90+7' pen.)
Rodriguez (53'), Sands (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orellano (65')
Bucha (43'), Yedlin (56'), Kubo (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 NY City
Monday, October 28 at 10.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 NY City
Monday, October 28 at 10.45pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 FC Cincinnati

NYCFC have plenty of experienced attacking players who can still make an impact, and we believe they will be decisive in this encounter, knowing that there may be no tomorrow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
50.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.98% (0.11 0.11) 27.85% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 64.83% (-0.496 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.25% (-0.613 -0.61)34.75% (0.617 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.29% (-0.691 -0.69)56.71% (0.696 0.7)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)14.23% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.03% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)41.97% (0.437 0.44)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (-0.381 -0.38)24.41% (0.385 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (-0.542 -0.54)58.84% (0.546 0.55)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 50.18%
    FC Cincinnati 27.85%
    Draw 21.98%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.77% (0.158 0.16)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.27% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 50.18%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.47% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.9% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 27.85%

How you voted: NY City vs Cincinnati

New York City FC
72.2%
Draw
16.7%
FC Cincinnati
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2024 10.45pm
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
NY City
3-2
Cincinnati
Ilencic (16'), Martinez (65'), Rodriguez (75' pen.)
Sands (41'), Martins (66'), Perea (84'), Gray (90+1'), Wolf (90+14')
Acosta (69' pen.), Baird (90+6')
Kelsy (34')
Aug 6, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Cincinnati
4-2
NY City
Bucha (79'), Rodrigo Asad (82'), Kubo (86'), Santos (89')
Nwobodo (78')
Rodriguez (25'), Mijatovic (61')
Fernandez (33'), Wolf (90+3')
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY City
Boupendza (6'), Moreno (52'), Hagglund (59')
Miazga (45'), Kubo (50')

Risa (88'), Perea (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!