Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
41.79% ( 0.07) | 26.61% ( -0.01) | 31.6% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.46% ( 0.03) | 53.54% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.95% ( 0.03) | 75.05% ( -0.03) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% ( 0.05) | 25.31% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.92% ( 0.08) | 60.08% ( -0.08) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( -0.03) | 31.39% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% ( -0.03) | 67.76% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |